For the past eleven years, Clear Creek Amana has worked with a RSP, a national consulting firm, to make sound planning decisions for the students and community.  The overall goal of this study is to help CCACSD make the best decision for the students in the classroom level. RSP presented their findings at the December 11, 2025 work session.

While community growth continues, the correlation between new housing, population, and student increases has weakened in recent years, indicating that enrollment growth is continuing—but at a slower pace than the district experienced historically. 

Main Takeaways from the Study:

Despite almost 3,000 new units built over the past ten years, student yield rates have stayed generally consistent illustrating that there may be a more limited approach to the impact new housing has on enrollment trends. 

Our region census population under 5 years of age has been decreasing since 2018. Over the past five years (2019 to 2023), the population under five has decreased by 5% and the live birth rate has decreased by 1.5%. 

Students utilizing ESAs within the district boundary increased by 69% from last year for a total of 83 students utilizing ESAs. Not all students using ESAs came from the district, but they reside within the district boundary. We will continually observe how the program impacts the market share of students once fully phased in. 

Areas of newest residential inventory are on the east side of the district where development activity has increased the past twenty years.

• Largest projected growth is at North Bend Elementary and Clear Creek Amana High, both forecasted to increase enrollment significantly over the next five years (22% and 33% respectively) but still under instructional capacity.
  • Most elementary buildings remain stable, with modest growth or decline depending on neighborhood development patterns. 
  • Amana Elementary is the only school with a sustained enrollment decline, projected to fall to roughly 120-150 students by 2030/31, which may inform future programmatic or boundary considerations. 
• Clear Creek Amana Middle School and High School continue to absorb strong cohort growth, indicating larger class sizes moving up through the system to about 92-93% capacity over the next five years.

Historically, district enrollment has grown steadily for more than a decade, increasing by 873 K–12 students (about 39%) since 2016/17, with annual growth now moderating to around 1% per year.

• Cohorts are generally stabilizing at roughly 250–280 students per grade, improving predictability.
• Larger incoming kindergarten classes than graduating senior classes have driven past growth, but projections indicate that senior classes will grow faster over the next five years, narrowing this gap and flattening districtwide growth rates.
• RSP’s planning‑area approach and sophisticated model—incorporating birth trends, development timing, housing types, land use plans, infrastructure, and student migration—support a conservative, data‑driven forecast.
• Overall, the factual outlook is one of
  • continued, moderate enrollment growth;
  • tightening secondary capacity;
  • surplus and unevenly used elementary space;
  • and a need for ongoing monitoring of births, housing markets, ESA impacts, and development pace to support phased, flexible facility and staffing decisions over the next 10 years.

November 2025 CCA Enrollment Analysis Produced by RSP - PDF